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MACD - Moving Average Convergence/Divergence

Excerpt from: Day trading newsletter Issue No. 003

Day trading with the MACD

From: Archie

Hello ... could you explain the MACD to me? How to use it? I read about it but don't quite get it. Thanks, Archie

~~~Christopher's Response~~~

Archie, here are the basics...

The MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) is a trend following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of prices.

The MACD is the difference between a 26-day and 12-day exponential moving average. A 9-day exponential moving average, called the "signal" (or trigger) line is plotted on top of the MACD to show buy/sell opportunities.

The MACD proves most effective in wide-swinging trading markets. There are three popular ways to use the MACD: 1.crossovers 2.overbought/oversold conditions 3.divergences.

Crossovers

The basic MACD trading rule is to sell when the MACD falls below its signal line. Similarly, a buy signal occurs when the MACD rises above it's signal line. It is also popular to buy/sell when the MACD goes above/below zero.

Overbought/Oversold Conditions

The MACD is also useful as an overbought/oversold indicator. When the shorter moving average pulls away dramatically from the longer moving average (i.e., the MACD rises), it is likely that the security price is overextending and will soon return to more realistic levels.

Divergences

A indication that an end to the current trend may be near occurs when the MACD diverges from the security. A bearish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new lows while prices fail to reach new lows. A bullish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new highs while prices fail to reach new highs. Both of these divergences are most significant when they occur at relatively overbought/oversold levels. Just let me know if any of this is confusing to you Archie.


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